基于平衡计分卡的武器装备维修绩效评价指标体系构建

武器装备维修是武器装备维修保障的重要内容,加强装备维修绩效评价,建立科学规范的绩效评价指标体系,对深入推进装备维修工作健康发展将发挥积极作用。以平衡计分卡为研究手段,运用"5M1E"分析法,从一个内核和四个维度出发,分析武器装备维修绩效评价的影响因素,据此建立评价指标体系,并应用于装备维修管理实践,为有效提高装备维修保障效益提供有益借鉴。     

飞秒激光脉冲在空气中成丝调控研究进展

在衍射、色散、克尔效应和多光子电离的动态平衡作用下,飞秒激光脉冲能够形成长距离的自引导光丝结构,并且伴随着狭长的等离子体通道。为精确控制超强飞秒激光脉冲在大气中的传输特性,针对飞秒光丝传输模式及光丝光场时空分布的有效调控已成为当前研究热点。在介绍飞秒激光成丝物理模型的基础上,对飞秒激光成丝调控方面的最新进展进行了综述,将光丝调控方式大致归结为两部分:时间调控和空间调控。其中,在空间维度上的调控主要可以分为相位调控、振幅调控以及特殊光场调控。同时指出飞秒激光大气成丝调制能产生众多的新效应,可为促进飞秒光丝实现更多新颖的潜在应用奠定基础。     

应用神经网络评估舰载武器系统作战效能

为评估水面舰艇舰载武器系统作战效能,最大程度地提高舰艇整体作战能力,采用神经网络评估舰载武器系统的作战效能,按照建立BP网络模型、设计模型结构及确定训练样本的步骤,实现神经网络评估模型创建的全过程。该模型把各个评估指标作为输入,通过历史数据的训练确定神经网络输入、输出的对应关系,从而得出系统的效能值。神经网络评估模型可动态地评估舰载武器系统的作战效能,其评估过程确定的各指标项相互关系能很好地指导舰载武器的战术使用。     

炮兵武器毁伤效能的后验计算方法研究

根据试验结果和武器性能对毁伤效能的计算和排序问题,给出了计算炮兵武器毁伤效能的指数法模型和加权平均模型;结合实例计算并排序,使对压制兵器和反坦克兵器的综合毁伤效能有定量的直观认识;进而分析了两种模型的特点;并提出了需要进一步研究的问题。     

Reconsidering minimum deterrence in South Asia: Indian responses to Pakistan’s tactical nuclear weapons

India’s nuclear doctrine and posture has traditionally been shaped by minimum deterrence logic. This logic includes assumptions that possession of only a small retaliatory nuclear force generates sufficient deterrent effect against adversaries, and accordingly that development of limited nuclear warfighting concepts and platforms are unnecessary for national security. The recent emergence of Pakistan’s Nasr tactical nuclear missile platform has generated pressures on Indian minimum deterrence. This article analyzes Indian official and strategic elite responses to the Nasr challenge, including policy recommendations and attendant implications. It argues that India should continue to adhere to minimum deterrence, which serves as the most appropriate concept for Indian nuclear policy and best supports broader foreign and security policy objectives. However, the form through which Indian minimum deterrence is delivered must be rethought in light of this new stage of regional nuclear competition.     

Nuclear weapons,the United States and alliances in Europe and Asia: Toward an institutional perspective

America’s alliances in Europe and East Asia all involve some institutional cooperation on U.S. nuclear weapons policy, planning or employment—from consultative fora in Asia to joint policy and sharing of nuclear warheads in NATO. Such cooperation is often analyzed through the prism of “extended nuclear deterrence,” which focuses on the extension of U.S. security guarantees and their effect on potential adversaries. This article argues that this underplays the importance of institutional factors: Allies have historically addressed a range of objectives through such cooperation, which has helped to catalyze agreements about broader alliance strategy. The varied form such cooperation takes in different alliances also flows from the respective bargaining power of allies and the relative importance of consensus, rather than perceived threats. The article concludes that nuclear weapons cooperation will remain crucial in successful U.S. alliance management, as allies negotiate their relationship with each other in the face of geostrategic change.     

SPARRING ON THE SUBCONTINENT

South Asian Security and International Nuclear Order: Creating a Robust Indo-Pakistani Nuclear Arms Control Regime, by Mario Esteban Carranza. Ashgate, 2009. 208 pages, $99.95.     

The Soviet Biological Weapons Program: A History

The Soviet Biological Weapons Program: A History. by Milton Leitenberg and Raymond A. Zilinskas (with Jens H. Kuhn), Harvard University Press, 2012. 921 pages, $55.     

ADVANCED US CONVENTIONAL WEAPONS AND NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT

The Obama administration has made a great effort to increase the role of advanced conventional weaponry in US national security thinking and practice, in part to help reinvigorate the global nuclear disarmament agenda by reducing the role played by nuclear weapons in the US defense posture. However, such a strategy is fundamentally flawed because increases in US conventional superiority will exacerbate US relative strength vis-à-vis other powers, and therefore make the prospect of a nuclear weapon-free world seem less attractive to Washington's current and potential nuclear rivals. Consequently, it is highly likely that the impact of efforts to increase US advanced conventional superiority through ballistic missile defense and a conventional “prompt global strike” program will ensure that the Obama administration is adopting a pathway to nuclear abolition on which it is the sole traveler for the foreseeable future.